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Plain-English explainers, deep dives, and backtest results on the SMA200 and adjacent trend-following topics. Everything written by a builder, not a guru.

Does the 200-day Moving Average Actually Beat Buy-and-Hold?

May 13, 2026 · 8 min read · by Christian

A look at 16 years of data on QQQ, TQQQ, SOXL, UPRO comparing the simplest trend-filter rule against passive buy-and-hold. The answer is more interesting than either side wants to admit.

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